Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portadown win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portadown win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portadown in this match.
