Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Aston Villa
40.29% ( 0.08)	26.1% ( -0.01)	33.62% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 53.51% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.07% (

0.03)

50.92% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.2% (

0.02)

72.8% (

-0.03)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.09% (

0.05)

24.91% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.47% (

0.07)

59.53% (

-0.07)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.25% (

-0.03)

28.74% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.42% (

-0.04)

64.58% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Southampton 40.29%

Aston Villa 33.62%

Draw 26.09%

Southampton	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 9.95% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 40.29%	1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.09%	0-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.62%