Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 47.18%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 27.86% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Newcastle United
27.86% ( -0.02)	24.96% ( -0)	47.18% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 54.38% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.49% (

-0.01)

48.51% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.36% (

-0.01)

70.64% (

0.01)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.49% (

-0.02)

31.5% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.1% (

-0.02)

67.89% (

0.02)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.4%

20.6% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.85% (

53.15% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 27.86%

Newcastle United 47.17%

Draw 24.96%

Aston Villa	Draw	Newcastle United
1-0 @ 7.5% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.84% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.33% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.63% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.67% ( -0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 27.86%	1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.49% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.96%	0-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.1% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.93% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.27% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.95% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.69% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.68% Total : 47.17%