Brighton command plenty of respect after consecutive wins against Arsenal and Tottenham, but attempting to get one over a Man City side desperate to respond to their FA Cup exit is surely a bridge too far for the Seagulls.
City will have all the motivation they need to return to winning ways should Liverpool go top on Tuesday night, and the fresh legs at Guardiola's disposal makes it difficult to look past a convincing win for the reigning champions.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 67.79%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 13.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 1-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 1-2 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
