Burnley will be competitive against Man City, but it is very difficult to imagine anything other than an away victory in this match. The Citizens know that they cannot afford to slip up due to the presence of Liverpool, and Guardiola's side should win this game relatively comfortably.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 86.47%. A draw had a probability of 9.8% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 3.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (13.73%) and 0-4 (10.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.63%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (1.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Manchester City in this match.
