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Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 3-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Next Game: Liverpool vs. Man City
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Community Shield

We said: Burnley 0-2 Manchester City

Burnley will be competitive against Man City, but it is very difficult to imagine anything other than an away victory in this match. The Citizens know that they cannot afford to slip up due to the presence of Liverpool, and Guardiola's side should win this game relatively comfortably. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 86.47%. A draw had a probability of 9.8% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 3.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (13.73%) and 0-4 (10.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.63%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (1.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Manchester City in this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawManchester City
3.72%9.81%86.47%
Both teams to score 36.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.8%33.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.03%54.97%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
38.75%61.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.72%91.28%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.77%5.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.34%20.66%
Score Analysis
    Burnley 3.72%
    Manchester City 86.46%
    Draw 9.81%
BurnleyDrawManchester City
1-0 @ 1.57%
2-1 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 3.72%
1-1 @ 4.63%
0-0 @ 3.2%
2-2 @ 1.68%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 9.81%
0-2 @ 13.95%
0-3 @ 13.73%
0-4 @ 10.13%
0-1 @ 9.45%
1-2 @ 6.84%
1-3 @ 6.73%
0-5 @ 5.98%
1-4 @ 4.97%
0-6 @ 2.94%
1-5 @ 2.93%
2-3 @ 1.65%
1-6 @ 1.44%
0-7 @ 1.24%
2-4 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 86.46%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Brentford 2-0 Burnley
Saturday, March 12 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 0-4 Chelsea
Saturday, March 5 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 0-2 Leicester
Tuesday, March 1 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-1 Burnley
Saturday, February 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Spurs
Wednesday, February 23 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-3 Burnley
Saturday, February 19 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-4 Man City
Sunday, March 20 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-0 Man City
Monday, March 14 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 0-0 Sporting Lisbon
Wednesday, March 9 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Man City 4-1 Man Utd
Sunday, March 6 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Peterborough 0-2 Man City
Tuesday, March 1 at 7.15pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Everton 0-1 Man City
Saturday, February 26 at 5.30pm in Premier League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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