SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 64.27%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 16.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 1-0 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Manchester United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester United.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Southampton |
64.27% ( -0.35) | 18.79% ( 0.03) | 16.94% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 60.57% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.65% ( 0.48) | 33.35% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.87% ( 0.55) | 55.13% ( -0.54) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.15% ( 0.05) | 9.84% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.33% ( 0.12) | 32.67% ( -0.11) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.19% ( 0.67) | 32.81% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.62% ( 0.73) | 69.37% ( -0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Southampton |
| 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.18)1-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 7.47% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.52% Total : 64.27% | 1-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.28% Total : 18.79% | 1-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.95% Total : 16.94% |
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