Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Liverpool |
45.48% ( -0.06) | 25.55% ( 0.01) | 28.97% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 53.28% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.69% ( -0.03) | 50.31% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.74% ( -0.03) | 72.25% ( 0.03) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.9% ( -0.04) | 22.09% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.54% ( -0.06) | 55.45% ( 0.05) |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.39% ( 0.01) | 31.61% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.98% ( 0.01) | 68.01% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United | Draw | Liverpool |
1-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 45.48% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 28.97% |
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