SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 25.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
48.86% ( 0.33) | 25.22% ( -0.1) | 25.92% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 52.02% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.13% ( 0.25) | 50.87% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.25% ( 0.22) | 72.75% ( -0.22) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.16% ( 0.24) | 20.84% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.48% ( 0.38) | 53.52% ( -0.38) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.72% ( -0.06) | 34.28% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.02% ( -0.06) | 70.98% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 1-0 @ 11.2% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.56% Total : 48.85% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.21% Total : 25.92% |
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