SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 73.02%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 10.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.4%) and 3-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Southampton |
73.02% ( -0.08) | 16.7% ( 0.05) | 10.28% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.27% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.33% ( -0.17) | 39.67% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.97% ( -0.18) | 62.02% ( 0.18) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.54% ( -0.06) | 9.45% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.25% ( -0.14) | 31.74% ( 0.15) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.31% ( -0.06) | 46.68% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.75% ( -0.05) | 82.25% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Southampton |
| 2-0 @ 12.27% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 9.65% ( -0)2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.7% Total : 73% | 1-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.8% Total : 16.7% | 0-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.02% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 1.71% Total : 10.28% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
