SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 46.01%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 26.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Maritimo |
46.01% ( -0.14) | 27.03% ( 0.05) | 26.97% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 47.54% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.9% ( -0.13) | 57.11% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.02% ( -0.1) | 77.98% ( 0.11) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.21% ( -0.12) | 24.79% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.64% ( -0.17) | 59.37% ( 0.18) |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.22% ( 0.01) | 36.79% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.43% ( 0.01) | 73.58% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Maritimo |
| 1-0 @ 12.71% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 46% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0)Other @ 1.81% Total : 26.97% |
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