Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 73.77%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 8.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.21%) and 3-0 (10.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Braga in this match.
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