SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 57.28%. A win for Khimki had a probability of 21.57% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 1-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Khimki win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Khimki |
57.28% ( 0.61) | 21.15% ( -0.03) | 21.57% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 60.46% ( -0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.69% ( -0.65) | 37.31% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.48% ( -0.71) | 59.52% ( 0.7) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.1% ( -0.04) | 12.9% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.68% ( -0.07) | 39.31% ( 0.06) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.42% ( -0.89) | 30.58% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.18% ( -1.06) | 66.81% ( 1.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Khimki |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.24)1-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.89% Total : 57.28% | 1-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.15% | 1-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.83% Total : 21.57% |
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