SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
26.62% ( -0.65) | 24.06% ( 0.01) | 49.32% ( 0.64) |
| Both teams to score 56.37% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.57% ( -0.51) | 45.43% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.24% ( -0.49) | 67.77% ( 0.49) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.17% ( -0.76) | 30.83% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.89% ( -0.9) | 67.11% ( 0.9) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.5% ( 0.05) | 18.5% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.28% ( 0.09) | 49.72% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.94% Total : 26.62% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.05% | 0-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 9.56% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 5.37% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.39% Total : 49.32% |
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