Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 54.48%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Khimki win it was 1-0 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.