Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 56.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 19.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.74%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 1-0 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.
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