SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 56.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 19.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.74%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 1-0 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
19.45% ( -0.01) | 23.6% ( -0) | 56.94% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.02% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.12% ( 0.01) | 50.87% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.24% ( 0.01) | 72.75% ( -0.01) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.54% | 40.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.93% | 77.07% |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.34% ( 0.01) | 17.66% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.72% ( 0.01) | 48.28% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
| 1-0 @ 6.47% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.07% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.93% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.53% 3-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.13% Total : 19.45% | 1-1 @ 11.21% 0-0 @ 7.15% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.85% Total : 23.6% | 0-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10.74% 1-2 @ 9.72% 0-3 @ 6.21% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.62% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.69% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.44% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0)0-5 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 56.94% |
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