SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 80.78%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 6.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.62%) and 1-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.1%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (2.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
80.78% ( -0.04) | 12.84% ( 0.01) | 6.38% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 44.15% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.98% ( 0.04) | 35.02% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.99% ( 0.04) | 57.01% ( -0.04) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.32% ( 0) | 6.68% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.23% ( -0) | 24.76% ( 0) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.31% ( 0.1) | 52.69% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.55% ( 0.06) | 86.45% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
| 2-0 @ 12.88% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 11.62% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 5.04% ( 0)5-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.73% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.92% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 4% Total : 80.77% | 1-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.57% Total : 12.84% | 0-1 @ 2.26% ( 0) 1-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 6.38% |
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