SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 66.74%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 13.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rostov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rostov | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
66.74% ( -0.03) | 19.46% ( 0.01) | 13.79% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.1% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.79% ( -0.03) | 43.2% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.39% ( -0.03) | 65.6% ( 0.03) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.97% ( -0.02) | 12.03% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.49% ( -0.04) | 37.5% ( 0.03) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.95% ( 0) | 43.05% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.67% ( 0) | 79.33% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rostov | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
| 2-0 @ 11.61% 1-0 @ 10.96% 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.91% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.66% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.84% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0)Other @ 3.43% Total : 66.73% | 1-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0)Other @ 0.92% Total : 19.46% | 0-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.9% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.84% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.16% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 1.44% Total : 13.79% |
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