SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 57.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 20.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Khimki win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Orenburg | Draw | Khimki |
57.34% ( -0.01) | 22.09% ( 0) | 20.56% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.58% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.97% ( 0.02) | 43.03% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.57% ( 0.02) | 65.43% ( -0.01) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.23% ( 0) | 14.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.98% ( 0) | 43.02% ( 0) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.22% ( 0.03) | 34.79% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.48% ( 0.03) | 71.52% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orenburg | Draw | Khimki |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% 1-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.33% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.99% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.02% 4-0 @ 2.86% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 57.34% | 1-1 @ 10.37% 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.14% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.09% | 1-2 @ 5.48% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.43% 0-2 @ 2.87% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.01% Total : 20.56% |
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