Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Krylia Sovetov in this match.
