Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Krylia Sovetov would win this match.

Result
Krylia Sovetov	Draw	Akhmat Grozny
46.23% ( 0.02)	26.02% ( 0.14)	27.76% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 51.03% (

-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.14% (

-0.66)

52.86% (

0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.52% (

-0.56)

74.48% (

0.56)

Krylia Sovetov Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.16% (

-0.27)

22.84% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.44% (

-0.4)

56.56% (

0.4)

Akhmat Grozny Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.13% (

-0.47)

33.87% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.46% (

-0.51)

70.54% (

0.52)

Score Analysis

Krylia Sovetov 46.23%

Akhmat Grozny 27.76%

Draw 26.01%

Krylia Sovetov	Draw	Akhmat Grozny
1-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.97% Total : 46.23%	1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.01%	0-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.53% 1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.32% Total : 27.76%