Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
