Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 65.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 13.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.28%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Partick Thistle in this match.