Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 76.24%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 8.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.34%) and 3-0 (10.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.39%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
