Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.