Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 44.87%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 27.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
