Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 58.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Amorebieta had a probability of 17.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for an Amorebieta win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Las Palmas in this match.
