Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 0-1 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lugo in this match.

Result
Lugo	Draw	Cartagena
40.24%	28.6%	31.15%

Both teams to score 45.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.01%

60.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.01%

80.99%

Lugo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.33%

29.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.28%

65.71%

Cartagena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.4%

35.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.63%

72.37%

Score Analysis

Lugo 40.24%

Cartagena 31.15%

Draw 28.6%

Lugo	Draw	Cartagena
1-0 @ 12.83% 2-1 @ 8.05% 2-0 @ 7.8% 3-1 @ 3.26% 3-0 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 1.69% 4-1 @ 0.99% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.5% Total : 40.24%	1-1 @ 13.25% 0-0 @ 10.56% 2-2 @ 4.16% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.6%	0-1 @ 10.9% 1-2 @ 6.84% 0-2 @ 5.63% 1-3 @ 2.36% 0-3 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.04% Total : 31.15%