Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 38.24%. A draw had a probability of 31.1% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 30.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.8%) and 2-1 (7.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.09%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 0-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Malaga	Draw	Real Zaragoza
38.24% ( -0.14)	31.12% ( 0)	30.64% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 38.81% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

31.23% (

0.01)

68.77% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.56% (

86.44% (

-0.01)

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.06% (

-0.09)

34.93% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.32% (

-0.09)

71.68% (

0.09)

Real Zaragoza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.65% (

0.11)

40.35% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.03% (

0.1)

76.97% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Malaga 38.23%

Real Zaragoza 30.63%

Draw 31.11%

Malaga	Draw	Real Zaragoza
1-0 @ 14.82% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 38.23%	0-0 @ 14.09% ( -0.01) 1-1 @ 13.45% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.21% ( 0) Other @ 0.36% Total : 31.11%	0-1 @ 12.79% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 1.36% Total : 30.63%