Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 45.07%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 25.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Real Zaragoza	Draw	Burgos
45.07% ( -0.22)	29.62% ( 0.07)	25.31% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 39.82% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.73% (

-0.13)

66.28% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.23% (

-0.09)

84.77% (

0.09)

Real Zaragoza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.41% (

-0.18)

29.59% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.38% (

-0.22)

65.62% (

0.23)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.56% (

0.06)

43.44% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.34% (

0.05)

79.66% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Real Zaragoza 45.07%

Burgos 25.31%

Draw 29.61%

Real Zaragoza	Draw	Burgos
1-0 @ 15.65% 2-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.34% Total : 45.07%	1-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 12.85% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.4% Total : 29.61%	0-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.01% Total : 25.31%