Fiorentina
2 - 3
AC Milan

Pulgar (17'), Ribery (51')
Prandelli (65'), Kouame (89')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ibrahimovic (9'), Diaz (57'), Calhanoglu (72')
Calhanoglu (41'), Dalot (47'), Meite (90+2')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	AC Milan
28.54%	23.69%	47.77%

Both teams to score 59.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.59%

42.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.19%

64.81%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.14%

27.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.53%

63.47%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.06%

17.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.24%

48.76%

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 28.54%

AC Milan 47.77%

Draw 23.68%

Fiorentina	Draw	AC Milan
2-1 @ 7.01% 1-0 @ 6.39% 2-0 @ 4.08% 3-1 @ 2.99% 3-2 @ 2.57% 3-0 @ 1.74% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.82% Total : 28.54%	1-1 @ 10.97% 2-2 @ 6.02% 0-0 @ 5% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.68%	1-2 @ 9.43% 0-1 @ 8.59% 0-2 @ 7.38% 1-3 @ 5.4% 0-3 @ 4.23% 2-3 @ 3.45% 1-4 @ 2.32% 0-4 @ 1.82% 2-4 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.68% Total : 47.77%