Both teams are in rotten runs of form but Atalanta, buoyed by their home crowd, a much stronger squad and their veteran coach, should have enough to end their winless and goalless streak against Empoli this Friday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 74.36%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 9.51%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.46%) and 3-0 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.67%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.
1.04) 
-0.62) 
