SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 18.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Napoli.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Atalanta BC |
60.37% ( 0.57) | 20.83% ( -0.09) | 18.8% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 56.9% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.14% ( -0.36) | 39.85% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.79% ( -0.38) | 62.21% ( 0.38) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.19% ( 0.05) | 12.81% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.86% ( 0.11) | 39.13% ( -0.1) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.26% ( -0.72) | 34.74% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.53% ( -0.76) | 71.47% ( 0.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.19)1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.61% Total : 60.37% | 1-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.83% | 1-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.85% Total : 18.8% |
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