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Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 8, 2023 at 8.10pm UK
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
ML

Spurs
0 - 0
AC Milan


Romero (17'), Lenglet (21'), Conte (21'), Skipp (90+5')
Romero (77')
FT

Thiaw (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Tottenham HotspurDrawAC Milan
51.29% (0.63999999999999 0.64) 23.88% (-0.206 -0.21) 24.84% (-0.434 -0.43)
Both teams to score 55.24% (0.229 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.88% (0.509 0.51)46.12% (-0.51 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.58% (0.48 0.48)68.42% (-0.482 -0.48)
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82% (0.44 0.44)18% (-0.442 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.13% (0.749 0.75)48.87% (-0.75 -0.75)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.37% (-0.085000000000008 -0.09)32.63% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.83% (-0.095000000000002 -0.1)69.17% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Tottenham Hotspur 51.29%
    AC Milan 24.84%
    Draw 23.88%
Tottenham HotspurDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 10.07% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.64% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.53% (0.102 0.1)
3-0 @ 4.94% (0.102 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.077 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.12% (0.073 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 51.29%
1-1 @ 11.28% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 5.87% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.88%
0-1 @ 6.58% (-0.159 -0.16)
1-2 @ 6.32% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.68% (-0.098 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.02%
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 24.84%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Wolves 1-0 Spurs
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-0 Spurs
Wednesday, March 1 at 7.55pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Spurs 2-0 Chelsea
Sunday, February 26 at 1.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 2-0 West Ham
Sunday, February 19 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Spurs
Tuesday, February 14 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Leicester 4-1 Spurs
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 AC Milan
Saturday, March 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 2-0 Atalanta
Sunday, February 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 0-1 AC Milan
Saturday, February 18 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Spurs
Tuesday, February 14 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Torino
Friday, February 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 AC Milan
Sunday, February 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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