SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 57.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 21.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Bologna |
57.01% ( -0.05) | 21.81% ( 0) | 21.18% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.51% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.07% ( 0.04) | 40.93% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.68% ( 0.05) | 63.32% ( -0.05) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.83% | 14.17% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.13% ( -0) | 41.86% ( -0) |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67% ( 0.07) | 33% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.42% ( 0.07) | 69.58% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lazio | Draw | Bologna |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.45% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.15% 4-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 3.14% Total : 57.01% | 1-1 @ 10.13% 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.81% | 1-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.19% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.87% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 21.18% |
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