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Serie A | Gameweek 22
Jan 25, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
AL

Como
1 - 2
Atalanta

Paz (30')
Jack Ozilio Moreira Pacheco (66'), Cutrone (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Retegui (56', 70')
Lookman (51'), Brescianini (88'), Samardzic (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Como 4-1 Udinese
Monday, January 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 5-0 Sturm Graz
Tuesday, January 21 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: Como 1-1 Atalanta BC

Atalanta may have to wait longer for their first Serie A win of the year, as Como can boast a fine recent record on home soil, where they have beaten Roma and Udinese. With half an eye on their Champions League fate, the visitors may be below their brilliant best, dropping more points and further denting their title chances. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 50.75%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Como had a probability of 23.82%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.58%) and 1-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Como win it was 1-0 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
ComoDrawAtalanta BC
23.82% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 25.43% (0.0030000000000001 0) 50.75% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 49.36% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.63% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)53.37% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.09% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)74.91% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.52% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)37.48% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.74% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)74.26% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.95% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)21.05% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.15% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)53.85% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Como 23.82%
    Atalanta BC 50.74%
    Draw 25.43%
ComoDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 7.74% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-1 @ 5.92% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 3.8%
3-1 @ 1.94% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 23.82%
1-1 @ 12.06%
0-0 @ 7.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 12.29%
0-2 @ 9.58% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 9.4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 4.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 4.88% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.94% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 50.74%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Como 4-1 Udinese
Monday, January 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Como 1-2 AC Milan
Tuesday, January 14 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 1-1 Como
Friday, January 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Como 2-0 Lecce
Monday, December 30 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Como
Monday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Como 2-0 Roma
Sunday, December 15 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 5-0 Sturm Graz
Tuesday, January 21 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Atalanta 2-3 Napoli
Saturday, January 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 1-1 Juventus
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 0-0 Atalanta
Saturday, January 11 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Atalanta
Thursday, January 2 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana
Last Game: Lazio 1-1 Atalanta
Saturday, December 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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