Atalanta may have to wait longer for their first Serie A win of the year, as Como can boast a fine recent record on home soil, where they have beaten Roma and Udinese.
With half an eye on their Champions League fate, the visitors may be below their brilliant best, dropping more points and further denting their title chances.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 50.75%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Como had a probability of 23.82%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.58%) and 1-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Como win it was 1-0 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.