Both sides are yet to reach 20 goals since promotion - placing them among Serie A's lowest scorers - so a close-fought tussle is in prospect. While Lecce are experiencing their first real downturn, Cremonese must be lifted by their Coppa Italia success - surely Saturday is the day their winless streak finally ends?
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 1-0 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.
-1.09) 
1.11) 
