Only three teams have returned from Via del Mare with maximum points this season, so Lecce should prove a tough nut to crack for in-form Roma. Indeed, a low-scoring draw could be on the cards in this tussle between two well-drilled sides.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
-0.03) 
0.03) 
