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EF
Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Feb 21, 2023 at 8pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
NL

Frankfurt
0 - 2
Napoli


Gotze (60')
Kolo (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Osimhen (40'), Di Lorenzo (65')
Min-jae (38'), Elmas (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 58.83%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 19.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.51%) and 0-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Eintracht Frankfurt win it was 2-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawNapoli
19.69% (0.064 0.06) 21.48% (0.0010000000000012 0) 58.83% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Both teams to score 56.19% (0.102 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.47% (0.082000000000001 0.08)41.53% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.07% (0.081000000000003 0.08)63.93% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.19% (0.114 0.11)34.8% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.46% (0.121 0.12)71.54% (-0.12100000000001 -0.12)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)13.81% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.85% (0.012999999999998 0.01)41.14% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 19.69%
    Napoli 58.83%
    Draw 21.48%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawNapoli
2-1 @ 5.3% (0.015 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 2.68% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.87% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 0.94% (0.0059999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 19.69%
1-1 @ 10.04%
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.81% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.48%
1-2 @ 9.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 9.51% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 9.42% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 6.56%
0-3 @ 6.22% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.46% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 3.08% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.71% (0.006 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.29%
0-5 @ 1.22% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 58.83%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Frankfurt 2-0 Werder Bremen
Saturday, February 18 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 3-0 Frankfurt
Sunday, February 12 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 4-2 SV Darmstadt 98
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Frankfurt 3-0 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 1-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, January 28 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Frankfurt
Wednesday, January 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Sassuolo 0-2 Napoli
Friday, February 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 3-0 Cremonese
Sunday, February 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, February 5 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 2-1 Roma
Sunday, January 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 0-2 Napoli
Saturday, January 21 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 2-2 Cremonese (4-4 pen.)
Tuesday, January 17 at 8pm in Coppa Italia


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