No team has scored more Serie A goals inside the first half-hour of play than Lazio (14), so there is always the chance they can catch their visitors cold with a fast start. If they do take the lead on Saturday, they will be doubly determined to make amends for recent lapses and keep Atalanta at bay - though not without some difficulty.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
-0) 
0) 
