SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | AC Milan |
33.33% ( 1.33) | 25.3% ( 0.05) | 41.37% ( -1.38) |
| Both teams to score 56.11% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.46% ( 0.18) | 47.53% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.26% ( 0.17) | 69.74% ( -0.17) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.73% ( 0.93) | 27.27% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.29% ( 1.2) | 62.7% ( -1.2) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.14% ( -0.59) | 22.85% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.41% ( -0.87) | 56.59% ( 0.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lazio | Draw | AC Milan |
| 1-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.99% Total : 33.33% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.3)1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.18% Total : 41.37% |
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