SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 75.72%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 9.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.83%), while for a Cremonese win it was 1-2 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Cremonese |
75.72% ( -0.34) | 14.77% ( 0.13) | 9.51% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 52.76% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.55% ( 0.07) | 32.45% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.91% ( 0.08) | 54.09% ( -0.08) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.87% ( -0.05) | 7.13% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.03% ( -0.14) | 25.96% ( 0.14) |
| Cremonese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.81% ( 0.48) | 43.18% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.55% ( 0.4) | 79.44% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Cremonese |
| 2-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.12)2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.03)6-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.55% Total : 75.71% | 1-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 14.77% | 1-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.91% Total : 9.51% |
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