Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 73.44%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 10.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-3 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.52%), while for a Spezia win it was 2-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Napoli |
10.5% (![]() | 16.05% (![]() | 73.44% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.67% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.24% (![]() | 35.75% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.17% (![]() | 57.82% (![]() |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.4% (![]() | 43.6% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.21% (![]() | 79.79% (![]() |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.62% (![]() | 8.38% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.84% (![]() | 29.15% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 3.12% (![]() 1-0 @ 3.03% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.26% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.02% Total : 10.5% | 1-1 @ 7.52% (![]() 2-2 @ 3.87% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.65% ( ![]() Other @ 1.01% Total : 16.05% | 0-2 @ 11.22% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.32% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 9.28% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 9.06% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 7.7% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 5.75% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 4.78% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.2% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 2.85% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 0-6 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 0.98% ( ![]() 1-6 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.78% Total : 73.43% |
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