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Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 8, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
AL

Spezia
1 - 3
Atalanta

Verde (30')
Bastoni (41'), Maggiore (44')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Muriel (16'), Djimsiti (73'), Pasalic (87')
Malinovskyi (53'), Freuler (57'), Muriel (62')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-2 Atalanta BC

Both teams are capable of scoring from a variety of sources - Atalanta have scored courtesy of the most different players (19) in Serie A this season and Spezia sit fifth in that ranking (15) - so this encounter should not be short of goals. Even though La Dea's morale is at a low ebb, they are generally more at ease on away soil, while their hosts may relax a little too much with safety almost assured. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 73.18%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 10.58%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-3 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Spezia win it was 2-1 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawAtalanta BC
10.58% (0.117 0.12) 16.24% (0.053000000000001 0.05) 73.18% (-0.167 -0.17)
Both teams to score 51.22% (0.242 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.52% (0.092000000000006 0.09)36.48% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.37% (0.1 0.1)58.63% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.05% (0.275 0.27)43.95% (-0.272 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.91% (0.227 0.23)80.08% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.38% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)8.62% (0.016 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.26% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)29.74% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 10.58%
    Atalanta BC 73.17%
    Draw 16.24%
SpeziaDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 3.14% (0.031 0.03)
1-0 @ 3.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.28% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.05% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2%
Total : 10.58%
1-1 @ 7.63% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.85% (0.035 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.79% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 16.24%
0-2 @ 11.38% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.36% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 9.3% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-1 @ 9.29% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 7.65% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-4 @ 5.7% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-4 @ 4.69% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.14% (0.026 0.03)
0-5 @ 2.8% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-5 @ 2.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-4 @ 1.93% (0.015 0.02)
0-6 @ 1.14% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-5 @ 0.95% (0.007 0.01)
1-6 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 73.17%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Spezia 3-4 Lazio
Saturday, April 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 2-1 Spezia
Saturday, April 23 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 1-3 Inter Milan
Friday, April 15 at 6pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 0-0 Spezia
Saturday, April 9 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 1-0 Venezia
Saturday, April 2 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 4-1 Spezia
Friday, March 18 at 5.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 1-1 Salernitana
Monday, May 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 4-4 Torino
Wednesday, April 27 at 7.15pm in Serie A
Last Game: Venezia 1-3 Atalanta
Saturday, April 23 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 1-2 Hellas Verona
Monday, April 18 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 0-2 RB Leipzig
Thursday, April 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sassuolo 2-1 Atalanta
Sunday, April 10 at 2pm in Serie A


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