Cagliari will be desperate to claim all three points as they aim to steer themselves further away from the relegation zone. However, we cannot see the hosts getting the better of Milan, who should have enough quality in their side to secure a routine victory on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 17.91%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.57%) and 0-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Cagliari win it was 2-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	AC Milan
17.91%	20.42%	61.67%

Both teams to score 56.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.58%

39.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.24%

61.76%

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.55%

35.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.79%

72.21%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.7%

12.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.92%

38.08%

Score Analysis

Cagliari 17.91%

AC Milan 61.67%

Draw 20.42%

Cagliari	Draw	AC Milan
2-1 @ 4.91% 1-0 @ 4.52% 2-0 @ 2.35% 3-2 @ 1.78% 3-1 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.65% Total : 17.91%	1-1 @ 9.48% 2-2 @ 5.15% 0-0 @ 4.36% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.42%	1-2 @ 9.93% 0-2 @ 9.57% 0-1 @ 9.14% 1-3 @ 6.94% 0-3 @ 6.69% 1-4 @ 3.63% 2-3 @ 3.6% 0-4 @ 3.5% 2-4 @ 1.88% 1-5 @ 1.52% 0-5 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.8% Total : 61.67%