SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 55.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Cremonese win it was 2-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cremonese | Draw | Fiorentina |
21.8% ( -0.51) | 22.56% ( -0.21) | 55.64% ( 0.72) |
| Both teams to score 55.87% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.47% ( 0.31) | 43.52% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.08% ( 0.31) | 65.92% ( -0.31) |
| Cremonese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.12% ( -0.3) | 33.88% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.45% ( -0.33) | 70.55% ( 0.33) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.49% ( 0.35) | 15.5% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.6% ( 0.65) | 44.39% ( -0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cremonese | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 2-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.19% Total : 21.8% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.55% | 1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 9.13% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 6.14% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 5.67% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.86% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 2.64% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 1.07% ( 0.04)0-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.61% Total : 55.64% |
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