SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 19.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Cremonese |
57.58% ( 0.25) | 22.65% ( 0.08) | 19.77% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 52.47% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.46% ( -0.81) | 46.53% ( 0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.19% ( -0.77) | 68.81% ( 0.76) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.1% ( -0.2) | 15.89% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.87% ( -0.37) | 45.12% ( 0.36) |
| Cremonese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.39% ( -0.82) | 37.6% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.61% ( -0.81) | 74.38% ( 0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monza | Draw | Cremonese |
| 1-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.2)2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.29% Total : 57.57% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.64% | 0-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.59% Total : 19.77% |
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