SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Roma |
25.86% ( -0.22) | 23.61% ( -0.02) | 50.53% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 57.17% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.94% ( -0.07) | 44.06% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.56% ( -0.07) | 66.44% ( 0.07) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.3% ( -0.21) | 30.7% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.05% ( -0.25) | 66.95% ( 0.25) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.49% ( 0.07) | 17.51% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.98% ( 0.12) | 48.01% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Roma |
| 2-1 @ 6.53% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.95% Total : 25.86% | 1-1 @ 11.06% 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.61% | 1-2 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 8.16% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 5.6% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.74% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.44% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.07% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.79% Total : 50.53% |
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