SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 19.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | Atalanta BC |
19.84% ( 1.83) | 22.22% ( 1.25) | 57.94% ( -3.08) |
| Both teams to score 53.97% ( -0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.4% ( -2.75) | 44.59% ( 2.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.04% ( -2.72) | 66.96% ( 2.72) |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.58% ( 0.37) | 36.42% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.79% ( 0.37) | 73.21% ( -0.37) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.89% ( -1.86) | 15.11% ( 1.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.34% ( -3.63) | 43.66% ( 3.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spezia | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 1-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.68) 2-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.38)2-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.37)3-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.13)Other @ 1.75% Total : 19.84% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.65) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.63)2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.22% | 0-1 @ 10.39% ( 0.54) 1-2 @ 9.93% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 9.83% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 6.25% ( -0.46)0-3 @ 6.19% ( -0.52)2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.2)1-4 @ 2.96% ( -0.44)0-4 @ 2.93% ( -0.47)2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.2)1-5 @ 1.12% ( -0.25)0-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.26)Other @ 2.59% Total : 57.93% |
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