Although Spezia head into this fixture in far better form than their more illustrious opponents, the break came at the wrong time for the home side. Atalanta have had chance to reset, and we feel that the visitors will come through this game with a hard-earned win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 19.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Atalanta BC
19.84% ( 1.83)	22.22% ( 1.25)	57.94% ( -3.08)

Both teams to score 53.97% (

-0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.4% (

-2.75)

44.59% (

2.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.04% (

-2.72)

66.96% (

2.72)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.58% (

0.37)

36.42% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.79% (

0.37)

73.21% (

-0.37)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.89% (

-1.86)

15.11% (

1.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.34% (

-3.63)

43.66% (

3.63)

Score Analysis

Spezia 19.84%

Atalanta BC 57.93%

Draw 22.22%

Spezia	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.68) 2-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.38) 2-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.13) Other @ 1.75% Total : 19.84%	1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.65) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.63) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.22%	0-1 @ 10.39% ( 0.54) 1-2 @ 9.93% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 9.83% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 6.25% ( -0.46) 0-3 @ 6.19% ( -0.52) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.2) 1-4 @ 2.96% ( -0.44) 0-4 @ 2.93% ( -0.47) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.2) 1-5 @ 1.12% ( -0.25) 0-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.26) Other @ 2.59% Total : 57.93%