Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 59.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Reggina had a probability of 17.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Reggina win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
