Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 49.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Como had a probability of 25.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Como win it was 1-0 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
